Inflation, Istat estimates +3.3% in 2026 and bending to +2.8% in 2027

ROMA (ITALPRESS) – The prices of imported energy products have grown strongly in tendential terms (of +34.1% in August, +20.4% in July;) towing the overall growth of import prices (from +5.0% to July to +7.3% in August) and, to follow, that of production prices for industry (+10.9% in August and +13.8% in September). The recent increases affect the expectations of the increase of the companies of all sectors for the next three months. On the basis of these dynamics, and in view of the expectations on the international price trends of raw materials and the subsequent transmission to the prices of final goods, in 2026 Istat expects a strong acceleration of the deflation of household consumption (+3.3%, from +1.5% of 2025) and a subsequent partial deceleration in 2027 (+2.8%). The GDP deflater, also thanks to the wide increase in import prices, would result in 2026 considerably lower than the consumption deflater (+2.1%), recording an acceleration in the average value of 2027 when a slowdown in imported input prices (+2.4%).

– photo IPA Agency –

(ITALPRESS).

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