ROMA (ITALPRESS) – In 2026 and in 2027 it is expected that the Italian GDP will grow, respectively, 0.9% and 0.6%, after the increase of 0.6% in 2025. Istat notes this in the note on the trend and prospects of the Italian economy.
In the two-year forecast, the Italian economy would continue to benefit from the holding of domestic demand, although in slowdown compared to 2025. The consumption of households, despite the pressure from the rise in prices on the dynamics of real wages, would be supported by the use of savings and the favourable trend of the labour market. Investments would continue to benefit, albeit progressively less, of the interventions still being completed in the context of the PNRR, however, with the high uncertainty of the geopolitical scenario and the increase in energy costs.
Exports and imports would continue to be supported by the positive dynamics of international trade. In 2026, GDP would record a growth of 0.9%, acceleration compared to 2025 (+0.6%), backed exclusively by domestic demand, which would provide a positive contribution of 1.2 percentage points, against a negative contribution of stocks (-0.3 percentage points) and a null contribution of net foreign demand. In 2027 the growth of the Italian economy would slow down further, attesting to 0.6%. In this case the main support would prove from the domestic demand (+0.6 percentage points), while the contribution of the net foreign one would be limited but positive (+0.1 percentage points) and that of the stocks would remain slightly negative (-0.1 points).
– photo IPA Agency –
(ITALPRESS).
