ROMA (ITALPRESS) – The OECD cuts GDP estimates for Italy. In 2026, according to the data contained in the Economic Outlook Interim Report, growth will be 0.4%, 0.2 percentage points less than December forecasts, while in 2027 it will be 0.6%, down 0.1 points compared to previous estimates. In addition, inflation estimates were also reviewed. For 2026 there is an increase in consumer prices by 2.4%, up by 0.7 percentage points compared to December estimates. Inflation forecast for 2027 was confirmed at 1.8%. According to the OECD, the resilience of the global economy is tested by the evolution of the Middle East conflict, which has generated new inflationary pressures and created considerable uncertainty. Global growth remained stable at the beginning of 2026, sustained by the solidity of production linked to the technological sector, the reduction of actual tariffs on US imports and the positive momentum recorded in 2025.
It is expected that the shock of the energy supply resulting in the beginning of the Middle East conflict will weigh significantly on global growth, while at the same time exerting new pressures to rise on inflation. In this scenario according to the OECD economist, Asa Johansson, “for Italy growth is weak and consumption is also decreasing. We think that the Pnrr will continue to support growth, to 0.4% this year, and also in the next year. Italy’s growth estimates were slightly better at the end of 2025, but the increase in energy prices affected consumption and led us to review our downward forecasts.”.
– photo IPA Agency –
(ITALPRESS).
