ROMA (ITALPRESS) – In the last months of 2025, the attenuation of trade tensions and the cut of interest rates have reduced uncertainty and favored liquidity, containing in part the pressures to reduce the growth of the world economy. The beginning of 2026 was marked by new outbreaks of instability that support the forecasts of a slowdown in international economic activity for the current year.
In Italy, where in the third quarter of 2025 there is a conjunctural increase in GDP (+0.1%), the most recent high frequency data signal a general weakening of the economy in October, after the recovery in the previous month. There is a weak growth picture compared to the average of the euro area, with different trends between the different sectors. This is what emerges from the Istat Note on the Italian Economy Trend. The economic dynamic of trade between August and October was modest (+0.3% and +0.2% respectively for export and import). In the first ten months of the year, an increase of 3.4% for exports and 3.7% for national imports, with differentiated trends at sectoral level.
In November, employment decreases compared to October but grows in tendential terms. The conjunctural decline involves only women and all age groups, except for 25-34 years. Between September and November, on average, there is a conjunctural increase in employment (+0.3% for a total of +66 thousand employed), while people seeking work fall. In December, the growth of the harmonised consumer price index (IPCA) was 1.2%, still significantly lower than the average of the euro area (+2.0%). Based on the provisional figures, inflation in 2025 was 1.7% in Italy and 2.1% in the euro area. In the third quarter, the purchasing power of households increased.
– Photo IPA Agency –
(ITALPRESS).
